Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.010721 0.012990 0.015844 0.019789 0.025252 0.032801 0.044513
2024-10-27 0.008324 0.011018 0.014891 0.021197 0.031955 0.051362 0.094875
2024-11-03 0.007160 0.010052 0.014615 0.023010 0.040024 0.079473 0.214918
2024-11-10 0.006409 0.009418 0.014529 0.024956 0.049711 0.124351 0.580166
2024-11-17 0.005615 0.008503 0.013658 0.024970 0.055238 0.169478 1.540974
2024-11-24 0.004965 0.007694 0.012752 0.024519 0.059351 0.221808 5.265358
2024-12-01 0.004315 0.006772 0.011426 0.022625 0.057850 0.246684 16.079250
2024-12-08 0.003854 0.006125 0.010524 0.021481 0.058244 0.289334 192.907905
2024-12-15 0.003557 0.005743 0.010090 0.021394 0.062637 0.388109 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003358 0.005516 0.009937 0.022023 0.070794 0.597349 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003151 0.005245 0.009639 0.022143 0.077086 0.885117 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002901 0.004863 0.009033 0.021151 0.076965 1.072423 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002694 0.004571 0.008648 0.020961 0.082813 1.748661 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002592 0.004487 0.008749 0.022468 0.102819 6.071273 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002517 0.004444 0.008942 0.024436 0.132907 95.670890 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002447 0.004403 0.009132 0.026556 0.174663 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002310 0.004196 0.008840 0.026571 0.194919 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002172 0.003973 0.008466 0.026079 0.208351 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002000 0.003660 0.007797 0.024017 0.191786 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001869 0.003427 0.007331 0.022775 0.187552 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001782 0.003291 0.007120 0.022681 0.204777 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001724 0.003215 0.007071 0.023364 0.243374 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001656 0.003111 0.006922 0.023493 0.273658 NaN NaN